Democratic State Sen. Annette Taddeo says there’s been a shift in the political winds favoring her bid to unseat Republican Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar, citing a pair of national political rankings and an unexpected endorsement from a former GOP party leader. But other rating sites aren’t sharing that assessment, at least, not yet.
Voting has already started, with mail ballots being issued earlier this week. Election day is Nov. 8. The 27th Congressional District seat has flipped between the parties in the past two elections.
Taddeo has been aggressively courting Key Biscayne voters, holding fundraisers on the island and appearing at a meet and greet last week. The Cook Political Report and Politico both moved the race in her direction, moving a “likely” Republican rating to a less-certain “lean” Republican. But both organizations still give Salazar the edge.
The campaign released part of an internal poll claiming the race to be statistically tied, but other ranking sites still describe Salazar as favored to win, including FiveThirtyEight and Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Internal polls, paid for by campaigns, are often not assigned the same weight as public polling.
Another boost for Taddeo came earlier this week, when she got the unexpected endorsement of Al Cardenas, the former head of Florida’s Republican Party. He said it was the first time in four decades he’d endorsed a Democrat for Congress in South Florida. The news was first reported by WPLG-TV.
Nationally, Democrats hold an edge on the generic ballot, according to Morning Consult, along with improved polling for President Joe Biden.
Invest in Local News for Your Town. Your Gift is tax-deductible
Tony Winton is the editor-in-chief of the Key Biscayne Independent and president of Miami Fourth Estate, Inc. He worked previously at The Associated Press for three decades winning multiple Edward R. Murrow awards. He was president of the News Media Guild, a journalism union, for 10 years. Born in Chicago, he is a graduate of Columbia University. His interests are photography and technology, sailing, cooking, and science fiction.