About 11% of Key Bicayne’s registered voters have already cast ballots with just two weeks to go before Election Day, where a hotly contested mayoral race and several ballot questions are adding to the mix of state and federal offices. Early voting started Monday. Countywide, turnout was about 8%.
According to the Miami-Dade Elections Department, 28% of 3,044 mail ballots had been returned by Monday morning.
The voting activity could be pointing to a strong turnout, a potential repeat of the August primary, where a record 38% of registered voters in Key Biscayne cast ballots –almost double the county rate. Other indicators of high engagement: 81% of people aged 18 and above are registered, and both mail ballot requests and voter registrations are up slightly from the summer. A strong turnout would also align with the most recent midterm election, where 67% of Key Biscayners voted, compared to a county average of 54%.
The high activity, of course, means that campaigns have to adjust messages and outreach with a smaller and smaller pool of voters each day.
Nationally, several election experts are projecting high voter turnout, but whether it will top record-setting amounts in previous years is unknown.
In Key Biscayne, the electorate looks like this for 2022:
| TOTAL VOTERS | 8,183 |
| White | 2,927 |
| Black | 32 |
| Hispanic | 4,542 |
| Other | 682 |
| Male | 3,421 |
| Female | 3,935 |
| Sex Unspecified | 350 |
| Age 18-25 | 1,028 |
| Age 26-30 | 541 |
| Age 31-35 | 419 |
| Age 36-40 | 412 |
| Age 41-45 | 539 |
| Age 46-50 | 793 |
| Age 51-55 | 853 |
| Age 56-60 | 773 |
| Age 61-65 | 697 |
| Age 66-and up | 2,118 |
| Democrats | 2,182 |
| Republicans | 2,417 |
| No Party Affiliation | 3,460 |
| Other Parties | 124 |
Source: Miami-Dade Elections Dept.
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